Form 8-K

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 8-K

CURRENT REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF

THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Date of Report (date of earliest event reported): May 12, 2008

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware   1-5805   13-2624428

(State or Other Jurisdiction of

Incorporation)

  (Commission File Number)   (IRS Employer
Identification No.)
270 Park Avenue, New York, NY     10017
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)     (Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 270-6000

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):

 

¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 

 


Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure

On May 12, 2008, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (“JPMorgan Chase” or the “Firm”) provided an investor presentation, which included a review of first quarter 2008 earnings, among certain other recent developments.

Exhibit 99.1 is a copy of slides furnished at, and posted on the Firm’s website in connection with, the presentation. The slides are being furnished pursuant to Item 7.01, and the information contained therein shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section. Furthermore, the information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed to be incorporated by reference into the filings of the Firm under the Securities Act of 1933.

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits

(c) Exhibits

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Description of Exhibit

99.1    JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analyst Presentation Slides — First Quarter 2008 Financial Results

This Current Report on Form 8-K (including Exhibit 99.1) contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of JPMorgan Chase’s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause JPMorgan Chase’s results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in JPMorgan Chase’s 2007 Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, both filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and available at the Securities and Exchange Commission’s Internet site (http://www.sec.gov).

 

2


SIGNATURE

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

JPMORGAN CHASE & CO.

(Registrant)

By:   /s/ Anthony Horan
  Anthony Horan

Dated: May 13, 2008

 

3


EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit
Number

  

Description of Exhibit

99.1    JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analyst Presentation Slides

 

4

JPMorgan Chase & Co. Analyst Presentation Slides
M
A
Y
1
2
,
2
0
0
8
Jamie Dimon
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
UBS Global Financial Services Conference
Exhibit 99.1


Firm and line of business update
Key investor topics
Prime mortgage
Comments on home lending credit
Commercial Banking credit
Bear Stearns merger update
Capital management 2Q08
Comments on environment
2Q08 outlook
Conclusions
Agenda


F I R M  A N D  L I N E  OF  B U S I N E S S  U P D A T E


1Q08 Managed Results1
1
Managed basis presents revenue and credit costs without the effect of credit card securitizations.  Revenue is on a fully taxable-equivalent (FTE) basis. All references to credit
costs refer to managed provision for credit losses
2
Includes merger costs of $22mm in 4Q07 and $62mm in 1Q07
3
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
4
See note 1 on slide 31
$ in millions
1
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue (FTE)1
$17,898
($377)
($1,843)
(2)%
(9)%
Credit Costs
1
5,105
1,944
3,504
61%
219%
Expense
2
8,931
(1,789)
(1,697)
(17)%
(16)%
Reported Net Income
$2,373
($598)
($2,414)
(20)%
(50)%
Reported EPS
$0.68
($0.18)
($0.66)
(21)%
(49)%
ROE
3
8%
10%
17%
ROE Net of GW
3
12%
15%
27%
ROTCE
3, 4
13%
17%
30%
$ O/(U)
O/(U) %


Investment Bank
$ in millions
Net loss of $87mm on revenue of $3.0B, down 52% YoY
IB fees of $1.2B down 30% YoY, driven primarily by a
decline in debt underwriting fees
Ranked #1 for total Global Investment Banking Fees³;
market share grew from 7.2%³
in 2007 to 7.4%³
in 1Q08
Ranked
#1
in
Global
Debt,
Equity
and
Equity-Related
4
for first time ever
Fixed Income Markets revenue of $466mm decreased 82%
YoY reflecting:
Markdowns of $2.6B: $1.2B on prime, Alt-A and
subprime mortgages; $1.1B on leveraged lending
commitments; $266mm on CDO warehouse and unsold
positions
All other trading results include record rates &
currencies and strong trading results in credit trading,
commodities and emerging markets. Mixed results in all
other businesses
Gain of $662mm from the widening of the firm’s credit
spread on certain structured liabilities
Equity Markets revenue of $1.0B down 37% YoY, driven by
weak trading results, offset partially by strong client
flows and gains of $287mm from the widening of the
firm’s credit spread on certain structured liabilities
Credit costs of $618mm were driven by increased
allowance, including the impact of the transfer of $4.9B
of leveraged lending commitments to the retained loan
portfolio
1
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
2
Average Trading and Credit Portfolio VAR
3
Source: Dealogic
4
Source: Thomson Financial
2
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue
$3,011
($161)
($3,243)
Investment Banking Fees
1,206
(451)
(523)
Fixed Income Markets
466
(149)
(2,126)
Equity Markets
976
398
(563)
Credit Portfolio
363
41
(31)
Credit Costs
618
418
555
Expense
2,553
(458)
(1,278)
Net Income
($87)
($211)
($1,627)
Key Statistics
1
Overhead Ratio
85%
95%
61%
Comp/Revenue
41%
49%
42%
Allowance for loan losses
to average loans
2.55%
1.93%
1.76%
ROE
(2)%
2%
30%
VAR ($mm)
2
$122
$123
$83
$ O/(U)


2007
1Q08
Rank
Share
Rank
Share
Global M&A Announced¹ 
#4
27%
#4
27%
Global Debt, Equity & Equity-related
#2
8%
#1
10%
    US Debt, Equity & Equity-related
#2
10%
#1
15%
Global Equity & Equity-related
#2
9%
#4
7%
    US Equity & Equity-related
#5
11%
#4
9%
Global Long-term Debt
#3
7%
#1
10%
    Global Investment Grade Debt
#3
7%
#2
8%
    Global High Yield Debt
#1
12%
#1
20%
Global Loan Syndications
#1
13%
#1
11%
League table results
Major 2007 Awards
Best Overall Investment Bank
Five bankers named
to 2007 Rainmaker List
Best Equity Capital Markets –
Global
Best Debt House-
Western Europe
Supranational/ Sovereign/
Agency/ Regional Bond House
Asia-Pacific Equity-linked House
U.S. Leveraged Finance House
Source: Thomson Financial
1
Global announced M&A market share and ranking for 2007 includes transactions withdrawn since the end of 12/31/07
1Q08 IB fee and market share performance
2007 Derivatives
House of the Year
Best Derivatives House over the Past 20
Years
Best Credit Derivatives House –
Pioneer
and Modern Great
3


Leveraged Lending
Net additional markdown of $1.1B in 1Q08 on the remaining funded
and unfunded commitments of
$22.5B with gross markdowns in excess of 11% at 3/31/08
Mortgage-related
Prime / Alt-A exposure of $12.8B -
markdowns of $1.1B in 1Q08
Prime -
securities of $5.6B, mostly AAA-rated and $1.5B of first lien mortgages
Alt-A -
securities of $3.5B, mostly AAA-rated and $2.2B of first lien mortgages
Subprime exposure of $1.9B –
markdowns of $152mm in 1Q08
Exposure is hedged by approximately ($1.6B) of hedges and short positions
CMBS exposure of $13.5B
The majority is comprised of loans and securities of which 50% are AAA-rated
Collateralized Debt Obligation (“CDO”) Warehouse and Unsold Positions
CDO warehouse and unsold positions of $4.4B -
markdowns of $266mm in 1Q08
Mostly corporate credit underlying; no subprime
Municipal Finance-related
Municipal finance-related positions of $3.1B
Investment Bank Risk Topics (as of 3/31/08)
Bear Stearns  will add to risk positions
4


Retail Financial Services -
Drivers
Key Statistics¹
($ in billions)
1
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
2
Does not include held-for-sale loans
3
Reflects primarily subprime mortgage loans owned.  As of 3/31/08, $34.3B of held-for-investment prime mortgage loans sourced by RFS are reflected in Corporate for reporting and risk
management purposes. The economic benefits of these loans flow to RFS
Average deposits up 4% YoY
Branch production statistics YoY:
Checking accounts up 9%
Credit card sales up 18%
Mortgage originations up 39%
Investment sales down 15%
Home equity originations down 47% YoY
due to tighter underwriting standards
and housing market deterioration
Mortgage loan originations up 30% YoY
76% of 1Q08 mortgage loan
originations are conforming
3rd party mortgage loans serviced up
15% YoY
5
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Regional Banking
Average Deposits
$214.3
$208.5
$206.5
Checking Accts (mm)
11.1
10.8
10.2
# of Branches
3,146
3,152
3,071
# of ATMs
9,237
9,186
8,560
Investment Sales ($mm)
$4,084
$4,114
$4,783
Home Equity Originations
$6.7
$9.8
$12.7
Avg
Home Equity Loans Owned
$95.0
$94.0
$86.3
Avg
Mortgage Loans Owned
2,3
$15.8
$13.7
$8.9
Mortgage Banking
Mortgage Loan Originations
$47.1
$40.0
$36.1
3rd Party Mortgage Loans Svc'd
$627
$615
$546
Auto
Auto Originations
$7.2
$5.6
$5.2
Avg
Auto Loans and Leases
$45.1
$43.5
$42.5


Retail Financial Services
$ in millions
1
Actual
numbers
for
all
periods,
not
over/under
2
The net charge-off rate for 1Q08 and 4Q07 excluded $14mm and $2mm, respectively, of charge-offs related to prime mortgage loans held by Treasury in the Corporate sector
Net loss of $227mm driven by increased credit
costs
Revenue of $4.7B grew 15% YoY
Credit costs in 1Q08 include a $1.7B addition to
allowance (including $1.1B home equity and
$417mm subprime mortgage) and higher net
charge-offs across all segments
Expense growth of 7% YoY reflects higher
mortgage production and servicing expense and
investments in retail distribution
Regional Banking net loss of $433mm reflects a
significant increase in the provision for credit
losses.  Net revenue of $3.4B was up 11% YoY,
benefiting from higher loan balances, wider loan
spreads, increased deposit-related fees and
higher deposit balances
Mortgage Banking net income of $132mm was up
57% YoY
driven by increased production revenue
Auto Finance net income of $74mm declined 13%
YoY
primarily due to increased credit costs
6
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Net Interest Income
$3,011
$306
$394
Noninterest Revenue
1,691
(419)
202
Total Revenue
4,702
(113)
596
Credit Costs
2,492
1,441
2,200
Expense
2,570
30
163
Net Income
($227)
($979)
($1,086)
Regional Banking
($433)
($804)
($1,123)
Consumer and Business Banking
545
(17)
37
Loan Portfolio/Other
(978)
(787)
(1,160)
Mortgage Banking
132
(200)
48
Auto Finance
$74
$25
($11)
Key Statistics
1
Overhead (excl. CDI)
53%
50%
56%
Net Charge-off Rate
2
1.71%
1.17%
0.46%
Allowance for Loan Losses to EOP Loans
2.28%
1.46%
0.89%
ROE
(5)%
19%
22%
$ O/(U)


Key statistics
JPM 30-day delinquency trend
Comments on home equity
Home Equity
 
1Q08 
4Q07
1Q07
EOP owned portfolio ($B)
$95.0
$94.8 
$87.7
Net charge-offs ($mm)
$447
$248
$68
Net charge-off rate
1.89%
1.05%
0.32%
1.00%
1.25%
1.50%
1.75%
2.00%
2.25%
Sep-
05
Dec-
05
Mar-
06
Jun-
06
Sep-
06
Dec-
06
Mar-
07
Jun-
07
Sep-
07
Dec-
07
Mar-
08
1Q08 addition to allowance for loan losses of $1.1B is sufficient to cover annual net charge-
offs of approximately $2.6B
Significant underwriting changes made over the past year include
elimination of stated
income loans and state/MSA based reductions in maximum CLTVs
based on expected
housing price trends.  Maximum CLTVs
now range from 60% to 85%
2008 originations are expected to be down significantly from 2006-2007 levels
High CLTVs
continue to perform poorly, exacerbated by housing price declines in key
geographies
Note: CLTV = Combined-Loan-to-Value.  This metric represents how much equity the borrower has in the property
7


Subprime Mortgage
Key statistics
JPM 30-day delinquency trend
Comments on subprime mortgage portfolio
1
Excludes mortgage loans held in the Community Development loan portfolio
 
1Q08 
4Q07 
1Q07
EOP owned portfolio ($B)
1
$15.8
$15.5
$9.0
EOP held-for-sale ($B)
-
-
$3.7
Net charge-offs ($mm)
$149
$71
$20
Net charge-off rate
3.82%
2.08%
0.92%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
Sep-
05
Dec-
05
Mar-
06
Jun-
06
Sep-
06
Dec-
06
Mar-
07
Jun-
07
Sep-
07
Dec-
07
Mar-
08
Subprime
1Q08 addition to allowance for loan losses of $417mm is sufficient to cover annual net
charge-offs of approximately $700mm
Portfolio experiencing credit deterioration as a result of risk layering and housing
price declines
Additional underwriting changes have effectively eliminated new production in the
current environment
8


Card Services (Managed)
¹
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
Net income of $609mm down by $156mm, or
20% YoY; decline in results driven by increase
in credit costs
Credit costs up by $441mm, or 36% YoY
due to
a higher level of charge-offs and an $85mm
prior-year reduction of the allowance for loan
losses
Average outstandings of $153.6B up 3% YoY
and 1% QoQ
Charge volume growth of 5% YoY reflects a
10% increase in sales volume, offset partially
by a lower level of balance transfers, the
result of more targeted marketing efforts
Revenue of $3.9B up by $224mm or 6% YoY
Managed margin increased to 8.34% from
8.11% YoY and 8.20% in the prior quarter
Expense of $1.3B up by $31mm, or 2% YoY,
primarily due to higher marketing expense
$ in millions
9
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue
$3,904
($67)
$224
Credit Costs
1,670
(118)
441
Expense
1,272
49
31
Net Income
$609
-
($156)
Key Statistics ($B)
1
Avg
Outstandings
$153.6
$151.7
$149.4
EOP Outstandings
$150.9
$157.1
$146.6
Charge Volume
$85.4
$95.5
$81.3
Net Accts Opened (mm)
3.4
5.3
3.4
Managed Margin
8.34%
8.20%
8.11%
Net Charge-Off Rate
4.37%
3.89%
3.57%
30-Day Delinquency Rate
3.66%
3.48%
3.07%
ROO (pretax)
2.52%
2.51%
3.28%
ROE
17%
17%
22%
$ O/(U)


Commercial Banking
¹
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
2
Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities
Net income of $292mm down 4% YoY
driven by an increase in the provision
for credit losses, largely offset by
higher net revenue
Average loans up 18% and liability
balances up 22% YoY
Revenue of $1.1B up 6% YoY primarily
due to higher treasury services and
lending revenue, partially offset by
lower IB revenue 
Credit costs reflect higher net charge-
offs, primarily related to residential
real estate, the effect of the
weakening credit environment and
growth in loan balances
Expense relatively flat YoY, with
overhead ratio of 45%
$ in millions
10
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue
$1,067
($17)
$64
Middle Market Banking
706
11
45
Mid-Corporate Banking
207
(32)
(5)
Real Estate Banking
97
(5)
(5)
Other
57
9
29
Credit Costs
101
(4)
84
Expense
485
(19)
-
Net Income
$292
$4
($12)
Key Statistics ($B)
1
Avg
Loans & Leases
$68.0
$65.5
$57.7
Avg
Liability Balances
2
$99.5
$96.7
$81.8
Overhead Ratio
45%
46%
48%
Net Charge-Off Rate
0.48%
0.21%
(0.01)%
Allowance for loan losses
to average loans
2.65%
2.66%
2.68%
ROE
17%
17%
20%
$ O/(U)


Treasury & Securities Services
1
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
2
Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities
Net income of $403mm up 53% YoY
Pretax margin of 34%
Liability balances up 21% YoY
Assets under custody up 7% YoY
Revenue up 25% YoY driven by:
Double-digit revenue growth in both
TS and WSS
Higher client volumes across
businesses
WSS benefited from wider spreads in
securities lending and foreign
exchange driven by recent market
conditions
Expense up 14% YoY driven by:
Higher expense related to business
and volume growth
Investment in new product
platforms
$ in millions
11
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue
$1,913
($17)
$387
Treasury Services
813
(11)
124
Worldwide Securities Svcs
1,100
(6)
263
Expense
1,228
6
153
Net Income
$403
($19)
$140
Key Statistics
1
Avg
Liability Balances ($B)
2
$254.4
$250.6
$210.6
Assets under Custody ($T)
$15.7
$15.9
$14.7
Pretax Margin
34%
35%
27%
ROE
46%
56%
36%
TSS Firmwide
Revenue
$2,598
$2,636
$2,142
TS Firmwide
Revenue
$1,498
$1,530
$1,305
TSS Firmwide
Avg
Liab
Bal ($B)2
$353.8
$347.4
$292.4
$ O/(U)


Asset Management
1
Actual numbers for all periods, not over/under
2
Reflects the transfer in 2007 of held-for-investment prime mortgage loans from AM to Treasury within the Corporate segment
Net income of $356mm down 16% YoY and 32% QoQ
Pretax margin of 30%
Revenue of $1.9B flat YoY as the benefit from
higher AUM and deposit and loan growth was offset
by lower performance fees and lower market
valuations for seed capital investments
Revenue decline of 20% QoQ driven by seasonality in
the recognition of performance fees and a decline
in AUM due to lower market levels
Assets under management of $1.2T, up 13% YoY and
flat QoQ
Net AUM inflows of $47B for 1Q08 and $143B for
the past twelve months
1Q08 AUM balances affected by markets
Continued mixed global investment performance
75% of mutual fund AUM ranked in first or second
quartiles over past five years; 73% over past
three years; 52% over one year
Expense up 7% YoY, driven by higher compensation
related to increased headcount
$ in millions
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Revenue
$1,901
($488)
($3)
  Private Bank
655
(58)
95
  Institutional
490
(264)
(61)
  Retail
466
(174)
(61)
  Private Client Services
290
8
24
Credit Costs
16
17
25
Expense
1,323
(236)
88
Net Income
$356
($171)
($69)
Key Statistics ($B)¹
Assets under Management
$1,187
$1,193
$1,053
Assets under Supervision
$1,569
$1,572
$1,395
Average Loans²
$36.6
$32.6
$25.6
Average Deposits
$68.2
$64.6
$54.8
Pretax Margin
30%
35%
36%
ROE
29%
52%
46%
$ O/(U)
12


Corporate/Private Equity
$ in millions
Private Equity
Private Equity gains of $189mm in 1Q08
EOP Private Equity portfolio of $6.6B
Represents 8.3% of common equity less
goodwill
Corporate
Net income of $15mm excluding sale
proceeds on Visa
Sale proceeds of $955mm (after-tax) on
the sale of Visa shares in initial public
offering
Includes after-tax merger costs of $14mm in 4Q07 and $38mm in 1Q07
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Private Equity
$57
($299)
($641)
Corporate ex. Visa
15
108
    
44
      
Visa
955
955
    
955
     
Net Income¹
$1,027
$778
$396
$ O/(U)
13


8.3%
8.4%
8.4%
8.4%
8.5%
6.8%
6.7%
6.6%
6.5%
6.6%
1Q08
4Q07
3Q07
2Q07
1Q07
Tier 1 Capital Ratio
TCE/Managed RWA
1
See note 1 on slide 31
Capital management / fortress balance sheet
Strong capital positions with Tier I capital
ratio of 8.3% at 3/31/08
Recent preferred stock issuance of $6B
Provides flexibility to be opportunistic in
current environment
Strong liquidity and funding position
Reserve coverage ratios remain strong
1Q08
4Q07
1Q07
Consumer ex. Card Services
2.00%
1.23%
0.79%
Card Services 
4.49%
4.04%
3.96%
Investment Bank
2.55%
1.93%
1.76%
Commercial Banking
2.65%
2.66%
2.68%
1
Current position
Capital Ratios
Allowance for loans losses to loans
1
14


Revenue growth drivers
Key metrics
1
Includes deposits and deposits swept to on-balance sheet liabilities
2
Reflects the transfer in 2007 of held-for-investment prime mortgage loans from AM to Treasury within the Corporate segment
Good underlying momentum in core business drivers propelling organic growth across businesses
% Change YoY
1Q08
4Q07
3Q07
2Q07
1Q07
Retail Financial Services
Regional Banking Average Deposits
4%
4%
10%
10%
12%
Mortgage Loan Originations
30%
34%
35%
41%
24%
Credit Cards Originated in Branches
18%
34%
59%
(7)%
         
17%
Commercial Banking
Liability Balances¹
22%
22%
22%
16%
16%
Loans & Leases
18%
14%
15%
14%
13%
Treasury and Securities Services
Liability Balances¹
21%
30%
23%
12%
18%
Assets under Custody
7%
15%
21%
32%
31%
Asset Management
Assets under Management
13%
18%
24%
23%
21%
Loans²
43%
13%
16%
11%
5%
Deposits
24%
26%
17%
9%
14%
Investing for the Future
# of ATMs
8%
8%
14%
12%
16%
# of Branches
2%
2%
16%
16%
16%
# of Branch Bankers & Sales Specialists
21%
23%
23%
22%
12%
15


K E Y  I N V E S T O R  T O P I C S
16


Prime Mortgage
Comments on prime mortgage portfolio
JPM 30-day delinquency trend
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
Sep-
05
Dec-
05
Mar-
06
Jun-
06
Sep-
06
Dec-
06
Mar-
07
Jun-
07
Sep-
07
Dec-
07
Mar-
08
Prime
 
1Q08 
4Q07 
1Q07
EOP balances in Corporate ($B)
$41.1
$36.9
$26.5
EOP balances in RFS¹ ($B)
4.0
3.6 
7.4
Total
$45.1
$40.5
$33.9
Net charge-offs
2
($mm)
$50
$17
$3
Net charge-off rate
0.48%
0.18%
0.04%
1Q08 addition to allowance for loan losses of $256mm
Prime mortgage includes³:
$32.1B of jumbo mortgages
$2.6B of Alt-A mortgages
Key statistics
Note: CLTV = Combined-Loan-to-Value.  This metric represents how much equity the borrower has in the property
1
Includes
Construction
Loans
and
Loans
eligible
for
repurchase
as
well
as
loans
repurchased
from
GNMA
pools
that
are
insured
by
US
government
agencies
2
Net charge-offs include $14mm in RFS and $36mm in Corporate
3
$0.3B jumbo mortgages and $1.2B Alt-A mortgages are in warehouse
17


Prime Mortgage –
1Q08 Performance
Profile of loans charged off in 1Q08
High CLTVs
at origination (e.g., 80/20
stackers)
Limited income documentation
California and Florida
2006 and 2007 origination years
Changes in credit policy
Performance of ongoing vs. discontinued loans in 1Q08
Eliminated Alt-A
Implemented declining markets policy,
limiting CLTVs
Eliminated stated income/assets in
wholesale and correspondent channels
Note: Discontinued Businesses = High CLTV and Stated Income
Note: CLTV = Combined-Loan-to-Value.  This metric represents how much equity the borrower has in the property
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ongoing business
Discontinued business
% of outstanding
% of 30+ day delinquencies
% of net charge-offs
18


Comments on Home Lending Credit
Home equity losses could double to $900mm by end of year
Expect increase in subprime mortgage losses to approximately $200mm-
$250mm in 2Q08
Expect
increase
in
prime
mortgage
losses
to
approximately
$100mm
in
2Q08
Across all home lending portfolios, credit could deteriorate further in
future depending on home prices, unemployment and the economy
Possible additions to reserves
19


California
17%
Other
54%
Arizona
9%
Colorado
3%
Illinois
5%
Texas
12%
Homebuilders
19%
Other
12%
Condos
5%
Land
3%
Income
producing
61%
CB real estate exposure as of 3/31/08 ($B)
Real Estate Banking by industry as of 3/31/08
Total outstanding: $7.5B
Investment Real Estate:
O/S
RCE
Real Estate Banking
$7.5 
$11.8 
Middle Market & Mid-Corporate
Community Development 
$3.2
$1.1 
$4.5
$2.4 
Total Investment
$11.8 
$18.8 
% of total CB 
17%
13%
Owner-Occupied 
4.5 
6.3 
Total Investment & Owner-
Occupied
$16.3 
$25.4 
% of total CB
24%
17%
Commercial Banking -
Diversified Real Estate Exposure
Real Estate Banking by geography as of 3/31/08
Total outstanding: $7.5B
Total CB loan portfolio characteristics
Granular portfolio with 24% in loans below
$3mm; 5% in loans over $100mm
Average maturity of less than 3 years
Responsible balance sheet growth
Limited real estate exposure
20


NPL Ratio by business
NCO Ratio by business
0.00%
0.04%
0.06%
0.00%
0.01%
0.23%
0.00%
0.22%
3.51%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
3.50%
4.00%
Middle Market
Mid-Corporate
Real Estate Banking
2006
2007
1Q08
0.29%
0.01%
0.03%
0.17%
0.05%
0.44%
0.28%
2.44%
0.72%
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
Middle Market
Mid-Corporate
Real Estate Banking
2006
2007
1Q08
1
Real Estate reflects credit ratios in Real Estate Banking only
1
1
Commercial Banking Credit Quality
Majority of NPLs
and NCOs have come from real estate, as expected
Credit quality still outperforming peers but expected to continue trending towards normalized levels
21


Bear Stearns Merger Integration
Firmwide
Merger Integration Office of Senior Executives meets weekly
95%+ systems selection completed
Plans are in place to bridge the general ledger, HR, payroll and
back office
processing and convert the back office
Acquiring 4.1mm sq ft of real estate of which 1mm sq ft will be eliminated;
acquiring 5 trading floors and building 2 more
Co-location of Equities, Research, IB and back office to occur in 2008
Broker dealer consolidation to occur by end of 2008
Infrastructure
Leadership teams have been announced to approximately 3 levels down within the
organization
All 14,000+ BSC employees have a manager within the new organization who is
responsible for ensuring appropriate decisioning
is being made
Businesses are 75% complete in making people selection decisions; communication
is ongoing and expected to be complete to all staff by merger close
Have identified positions for approximately 40% of BSC staff
Have identified more than 1,500 redeployment job opportunities through the Talent
Network process
People
22


Bear Stearns Balance Sheet –
Estimated Projections
Risk Weighted Assets (RWA) -
$ in billions
 
3/17/08 
Estimate
6/30/08
Target run-rate
Trading
$155
$100 
$30 
Credit 
63
60
20
Mortgages
73
20
5
Repo
8
10
0
Other Trading
11
10
5
Prime Services
41
30
50
Other Assets
30
20
15
Total RWA
225
150 
95 
Total GAAP Assets
$410
$225
$250 
New risk limits and risk measures for BSC activity have been set
for all businesses to match the
appetite of the combined firm
Daily risk reporting is in place
Balance sheet and RWA reduction plans and targets are in place and being actioned
Riskiness of BSC balance sheet substantially reduced since announcement.  BSC VAR down roughly 50%
RWA calculated under Basel I rules as applied by JPM
Whether all BSC positions remain in IB (vs. Corporate) is TBD
23


Bear Stearns Future Earnings Potential (exit ‘09)
Business
Estimated Earnings
Equities + Prime Services
$600-$750
Energy
50-80
Other Markets
100-200
Corporate Finance
50-100
Total Investment Bank
$800-$1,130
Asset Management
$0 +/-
$ in millions
24


Bear Stearns Impact on 2Q08 –
Extremely Rough Estimates/Illustrative
Above the line earnings impact in 2Q08
JPM pro rata share of BSC losses through close
and month of June ’08 ($200mm realized to
date) - ESTIMATED1
($400)
Merger costs – ESTIMATED
(100)
Total
($500)
Extraordinary gain
BSC capital at 2/29/08
$11,500
De-leveraging/de-risking, purchase
accounting, restructuring, litigation, BSC
2Q08 operating losses, etc. – ESTIMATED
(9,000)
Purchase price
(1,500)
Total
$1,000 
Equity increase
Above the line losses – ESTIMATED
($500)
Extraordinary gain – ESTIMATED
1,000
Equity issued
1,500
Total
$2,000
$ in millions
1
JPM pro rata share is based on 49.5% ownership of BSC as of April 8, 2008
Prior estimate was $5B +/-
+/-
several hundred million
+/-
$1 billion
25


Bear Stearns Impact Post 2Q08 –
Rough Estimates
Approximately $900mm after-tax merger expense through the end of 2009
IB -
approximately $300mm after-tax merger expense
Spread evenly through the end of 2009
Primarily related to systems conversion
Asset Management
Net losses expected through 2009
Includes approximately $300mm in merger-related expense
Corporate –
approximately $300mm after-tax merger expense
Majority recognized in 2009
Primarily related to real estate
26


Capital Management 2Q08 –
Rough Projections
2Q08 projections:
Tier 1 capital ratio projected to be high 8% range +/-
Leverage ratio projected to be 6.25% +/-
Expect to maintain Tier 1 capital ratio of 8.00% to 8.50% without regulatory relief
Committed to maintaining a fortress balance sheet
27


Comments on Environment
Possibly 75% done
Hopefully over by year-end
Why?
Problems resolving:
Mortgage companies, CDOs, SIVs
Losses taken
Capital raised
Significantly de-leveraging, banks, hedge
funds, SIVs, etc.
Most problems known, but still being
recognized
No asset generation
CMBS, CDO/CLO, Alt-A
Subprime
Leveraged finance
Plenty of liquidity
Capital Markets Crisis
Just starting
Could be deep
Could be worse than capital markets crisis
Cannot
predict outcome
Factors
Deep, substantial financial pressure
More de-leveraging —
Investment Banks
Regulatory changes
Oil, housing, consumer, etc.
Round 2
financial effects
Commercial banks’
losses growing
Recognized slower
Need to build loan loss reserves
Need for capital
Investment portfolio losses
More financial tightening, de-leveraging
Recession
28


2Q08 Outlook
Investment Bank
Lower IB fees and trading revenue
Higher comp/revenue ratio anticipated in 2Q08
Credit provisioning likely
Bear Stearns will add to risk positions
Retail Financial Services
Solid underlying growth
See home lending credit outlook on page 19
Possible additions to reserves
Expect losses of approximately 5.00% in 2Q08;
approximately 5.00% + in 2H08; possibly
averaging 6% in 2009, likely additions to reserves
Sales growth rate continuing to show slowing
trend in 2Q08
Revenue growth lower than expected resulting
from higher payment rates, lower fees, lower
balance growth and fewer customers going 30
days past due
Card Services
TSS
Good underlying growth, which includes
benefit of recent market conditions
Corporate/Private Equity
Private Equity
Minimal realized gains QTD
Corporate
Expect core results to be net loss of greater
than $100mm
Expect write-downs on auction rate securities of
up to several hundred million
AM
1Q08 revenue is a good run rate for 2Q08
Bear Stearns BSAM and PCS will be a drag on
earnings
CB
Good underlying growth
Strong reserves but credit expected to
continue trending toward normalized levels
29


Conclusions
Extremely cautious on 2008 environment and impact on business
Deterioration in economic environment will likely lead to increase in loan loss
reserves
However, we see evidence of continued organic growth and benefits of investments
across businesses
Fortress balance sheet positions us well for uncertain market
Bear Stearns merger integration proceeding well, but is challenging in current market
environment.  Remains an excellent opportunity for shareholder value in long run
We are focused on managing well through this downturn and seizing opportunities to
position the company well for the future
30


This presentation includes non-GAAP financial measures.
1.
TCE
as
used
on
slide
1
for
purposes
of
a
return
on
tangible
common
equity
is
defined
as
common
stockholders’
equity
less
identifiable
intangible
assets
(other
than
MSRs)
and
goodwill.
TCE
as
used
in
slide
14
in
the
TCE/Managed
RWA
ratio,
which
is
used
for
purposes
of
a
capital
strength
calculation,
is
defined
as
common
stockholders’
equity
plus
a
portion
of
junior
subordinated
notes
(which
have
certain
equity-like
characteristics
due
to
their
subordinated
and
long-term
nature)
less
identifiable
intangible
assets
(other
than
MSRs)
and
goodwill.
The
latter
definition
of
TCE
is
used
by
the
firm
and
some
analysts
and
creditors
of
the
firm
when
analyzing
the
firm’s
capital
strength.
The
TCE
measures
used
in
this
presentation
are
not
necessarily
comparable
to
similarly
titled
measures
provided
by
other
firms
due
to
differences
in
calculation
methodologies.
2.
Financial
results
are
presented
on
a
managed
basis,
as
such
basis
is
described
in
the
firm’s
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007.
3.
All
non-GAAP
financial
measures
included
in
this
presentation
are
provided
to
assist
readers
in
understanding
certain
trend
information.
Additional
information
concerning
such
non-GAAP
financial
measures
can
be
found
in
the
above-referenced
filings,
to
which
reference
is
hereby
made.
Forward-looking statements and notes on non-GAAP financial measures
Forward looking statements
This
presentation
contains
forward-looking
statements
within
the
meaning
of
the
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995.
Such
statements
are
based
upon
the
current
beliefs
and
expectations
of
JPMorgan
Chase’s
management
and
are
subject
to
significant
risks
and
uncertainties.
Actual
results
may
differ
from
those
set
forth
in
the
forward-looking
statements.
Factors
that
could
cause
JPMorgan
Chase’s
results
to
differ
materially
from
those
described
in
the
forward-looking
statements
can
be
found
in
the
firm’s
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2007,
its
March
24,
2008
Current
Report
on
Form
8-K,
and
its
Quarter
Report
on
Form
10-Q
for
the
quarter
ended
March
31,
2008,
each
filed
with
the
United
States
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission
(SEC)
and
available
at
the
SEC’s
Internet
site
(http://www.sec.gov).
Additional Information
In
connection
with
the
proposed
merger
with
The
Bear
Stearns
Companies
Inc
(Bear
Stearns),
JPMorgan
Chase
has
filed
with
the
SEC
a
Registration
Statement
on
Form
S-4
that
includes
a
preliminary
proxy
statement
of
Bear
Stearns
that
also
constitutes
a
prospectus
of
JPMorgan
Chase.
Bear
Stearns
will
mail
the
definitive
proxy
statement/prospectus,
when
it
becomes
available,
to
its
stockholders.
JPMorgan
Chase
and
Bear
Stearns
urge
investors
and
security
holders
to
read
the
definitive
proxy
statement/prospectus,
when
it
becomes
available,
because
it
will
contain
important
information.
You
may
obtain
copies
of
all
documents
filed
with
the
SEC
regarding
this
transaction,
free
of
charge,
at
the
SEC's
website
(www.sec.gov).
You
may
also
obtain
these
documents,
free
of
charge,
from
JPMorgan
Chase’s
website
(www.jpmorganchase.com)
under
the
tab
"Investor
Relations,"
then
under
the
heading
"Financial
Information,"
then
under
the
item
"SEC
Filings,"
and
then
under
the
item
“Display
all
of
the
above
SEC
filings.”
You
may
also
obtain
these
documents,
free
of
charge,
from
Bear
Stearns's
website
(www.bearstearns.com)
under
the
heading
"Investor
Relations"
and
then
under
the
tab
"SEC
Filings."
JPMorgan
Chase,
Bear
Stearns
and
their
respective
directors,
executive
officers
and
certain
other
members
of
management
and
employees
may
solicit
proxies
from
Bear
Stearns
stockholders
in
favor
of
the
merger.
Information
regarding
the
persons
who
may,
under
the
rules
of
the
SEC,
be
deemed
participants
in
the
solicitation
of
the
Bear
Stearns
stockholders
in
connection
with
the
proposed
merger
will
be
set
forth
in
the
definitive
proxy
statement/prospectus
filed
with
the
SEC.
You
can
find
information
about
JPMorgan
Chase’s
executive
officers
and
directors
in
its
proxy
statement
filed
with
the
SEC
on
March
31,
2008.
You
can
find
information
about
Bear
Stearns’s
executive
officers
and
directors
in
the
amendment
to
its
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
filed
with
the
SEC
on
March
31,
2008.
You
can
obtain
free
copies
of
these
documents
from
JPMorgan
Chase
and
Bear
Stearns
using
the
contact
information
above.
31